Sunday, November 06, 2005

|A seller's market?|

LSAT test takers were down this October. They were also down in June and February. Assuming we see a corresponding drop in December, we're looking at a potentially less competitive application cycle.

This is assuming a few things: 1) that the number of applications per applicant does not go up, 2) that the number of applicants who test one year and apply the following year or later does not go up and 3) that the number of December takers does not go up. Although, even if December takers did jump, that wouldn't affect people applying to the top 14 schools (Georgetown through Yale) because these are the schools to which everyone applies early -- while they may not even start looking at applications until mid-November, they've been lining up and December takers have a long line to get behind.

Further, the scales have been getting more and more stringent the past few LSAT administrations. In other words, it's been getting harder and harder to get a higher score. The result is that a number of test takers are "re-takers." So the numbers may be even more depressed than simple numbers indicate.

As well, Georgetown extended its Early Action/Decision deadline by a week. According to the website, they extended the deadline "Due to the volume of applications received." Now, typically such an expression is used to indicate that too many of something has occurred and there needs to be a delay. But what school would extend its deadline if they received too many applications to process? No, this must logically mean that Georgetown did not receive nearly as many applications as it expected to receive under its early program.

What does all of this mean? It means that my 163 is looking a little bit better these days. It may mean little for my success for Georgetown through Yale, but Cardozo through Vanderbilt are looking a lot more likely.


promulgated by SWS2.1 at 14:42.
1 comments

1 Comments:

Wow, this makes me feel a whole lot better with my numbers. Good luck on your aps!

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 7:06 AM  

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